Updated daily at 12:00 UTC

Today's Rapid Intensification Risk

A daily index measuring geometric conditions favoring rapid tropical storm intensification — updated each morning for all four major ocean basins.

Friday, July 10, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Next update in 20h 29m
Basins
Atlantic
East Pacific
West Pacific
South Indian
Atlantic
76
/ 100
High

Geometric conditions are strongly favorable for rapid intensification of tropical storms in the Atlantic basin today.

vs yesterday ▲ +1
East Pacific
73
/ 100
High

Geometric conditions are strongly favorable for rapid intensification of tropical storms in the East Pacific basin today.

vs yesterday — 0
West Pacific
73
/ 100
High

Geometric conditions are strongly favorable for rapid intensification of tropical storms in the West Pacific basin today.

vs yesterday ▲ +1
South Indian
65
/ 100
Elevated

Elevated geometric conditions are present in the South Indian basin. Storms in this region warrant monitoring.

vs yesterday ▲ +1

What is the DCT Intensity Index?

The DCT Intensity Index is a daily measure of geometric conditions that research has associated with rapid tropical storm intensification — the sudden, dangerous strengthening that can catch communities off guard.

Like the UV index, it gives you one number you can act on. A High index day means conditions are strongly favorable for intensification. A Low day means the underlying geometry is not aligned for it.

The index is updated every morning at 12:00 UTC and applies independently to each of the four major tropical cyclone basins worldwide.

0–25
Low
Geometric conditions unfavorable. Low risk period for rapid intensification.
26–50
Moderate
Partial alignment. Monitor active storms; may develop over next 48 hrs.
51–75
Elevated
Favorable geometry present. Active or developing storms should be monitored closely.
76–100
High
Strongly favorable conditions. High awareness recommended in active storm regions.
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